Sunday, November 27, 2011



Returns for week ending 11/25/11

Returns for the past week:
Model portfolio: -6.4%
Actual managed account: -3.1%

NOTE:
My managed accounts have been about 50% invested with the balance in cash for the past few weeks. This week, the DecisionPoint timing model threw a fresh SELL signal, so I am moving my accounts to all cash. For the coming week, the model portfolio will invest half its cash in RWM, an inverse fund which will gain if the market continues down. The DecisionPoint timing model has continued to be whipsawed as the market has vacillated with no clear trend. Worst possible conditions exist for the model since summer. Fortunately, my managed accounts have been no more than 50% invested during this challenging period so my actual losses are somewhat muted compared to the model portfolio.

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