Returns for week ending 11/25/11

Returns for the past week:
Model portfolio: -6.4%
Actual managed account: -3.1%

NOTE:
My managed accounts have been about 50% invested with the balance in cash for the past few weeks. This week, the DecisionPoint timing model threw a fresh SELL signal, so I am moving my accounts to all cash. For the coming week, the model portfolio will invest half its cash in RWM, an inverse fund which will gain if the market continues down. The DecisionPoint timing model has continued to be whipsawed as the market has vacillated with no clear trend. Worst possible conditions exist for the model since summer. Fortunately, my managed accounts have been no more than 50% invested during this challenging period so my actual losses are somewhat muted compared to the model portfolio.

Returns for week ending 11/18/11

Returns for the past week:
Model portfolio: -4.9%
Actual managed account: -2.1%

NOTE:
My managed accounts are about 50% invested with the balance in cash.

Returns for week ending 11/11/11

Returns for the past week:
Model portfolio: -0.3%
Actual managed account: -0.3%

NOTE:
My managed accounts are about 50% invested with the balance in cash.

Returns for week ending 11/4/11

Returns for the past week:
Model portfolio: +1.3%
Actual managed account: +0.4%

NOTE:
My managed accounts are still only about 30% invested which accounts for much of the difference in performance this week. For the coming weeks, as the model portfolio continues to outperform the market indices, I intend to scale in on market pullbacks, investing up to 100% of funds in the portfolio shown here.

Returns for week ending 10/28/11

Returns for the past week:
Model portfolio: +3.7%
Actual managed account: +1.0%

NOTE:
My managed accounts are only 25% invested which accounts for the difference in performance this week. For the coming week I intend to scale in further, investing up to 50% of funds in the portfolio shown here.

Returns for week ending 10/21/11

Returns for the past week:
Model portfolio: -3.0%
Actual managed account: -0.70%

NOTE:
My managed accounts are only 25% invested which accounts for the difference in performance this week.
For the coming week I intend to invest 25% of funds in the portfolio shown here.

Returns for week ending 10/14/11

Returns for the past week:
Model portfolio: -4.2%
Actual managed account: 0%

NOTE:
The DecisionPoint timing modeL THREW a fresh BUY signal as of the market close on 10/10. Market conditions appear conducive to a sustained rally, but there is still risk of another whipsaw since the market has not broken out above the defined range for the past few months and is now trading right at the top of that range.

For the coming week in my managed accounts, I intend to invest 25% of funds in the portfolio shown here. I'll scale in over the next few weeks.